Fact Sheet: How the Trump Child Care Plan Overlooks His Supporters in These 7 States

Rasheed Malik Policy Analyst, Center for American Progress

A new analysis from the Center for American Progress calculates how much President Donald Trump’s child care plan will mean for Trump swing voters. Using county-level election results, the research identifies Trump swing counties as those in which the vote margin swung at least 15 percentage points toward the Republican candidate from 2012 to 2016. These communities are more likely to be found in the Midwest, northern Plains, and Appalachia.

Nationwide, the typical family with two young children in Trump swing counties would only net $5.55 under Trump’s plan, even after spending thousands of dollars on child care. Meanwhile, the typical family of four with two young children in Trump’s former Upper East Side neighborhood would get a $7,329 tax break from the Trump child care plan.

This fact sheet features seven state-level estimates of the meager benefit that families in Trump swing counties will receive under the Trump child care plan.


This analysis assumes no changes to the current 2017 tax brackets and uses the design of President Trump’s child care proposal as laid out in September 2016. The author uses county-level election results to identify Trump swing counties and the U.S. Census Bureau’s American Community Survey microdata to estimate the median income of families with young children in these counties. Child care spending is estimated using the National Survey of Early Care and Education and has been inflated to 2017 dollars.

For more detail on the methods the author used, see the methodology memo here.


Reposted from the Center for American Progress.

Posted In: Allied Approaches

Union Matters

Get to Know AFL-CIO's Affiliates: National Association of Letter Carriers

From the AFL-CIO

Next up in our series that takes a deeper look at each of our affiliates is the National Association of Letter Carriers.

Name of Union: National Association of Letter Carriers (NALC)

Mission: To unite fraternally all city letter carriers employed by the U.S. Postal Service for their mutual benefit; to obtain and secure rights as employees of the USPS and to strive at all times to promote the safety and the welfare of every member; to strive for the constant improvement of the Postal Service; and for other purposes. NALC is a single-craft union and is the sole collective-bargaining agent for city letter carriers.

Current Leadership of Union: Fredric V. Rolando serves as president of NALC, after being sworn in as the union's 18th president in 2009. Rolando began his career as a letter carrier in 1978 in South Miami before moving to Sarasota in 1984. He was elected president of Branch 2148 in 1988 and served in that role until 1999. In the ensuing years, he worked in various roles for NALC before winning his election as a national officer in 2002, when he was elected director of city delivery. In 2006, he won election as executive vice president. Rolando was re-elected as NALC president in 2010, 2014 and 2018.

Brian Renfroe serves as executive vice president, Lew Drass as vice president, Nicole Rhine as secretary-treasurer, Paul Barner as assistant secretary-treasurer, Christopher Jackson as director of city delivery, Manuel L. Peralta Jr. as director of safety and health, Dan Toth as director of retired members, Stephanie Stewart as director of the Health Benefit Plan and James W. “Jim” Yates as director of life insurance.

Number of Members: 291,000 active and retired letter carriers.

Members Work As: City letter carriers.

Industries Represented: The United States Postal Service.

History: In 1794, the first letter carriers were appointed by Congress as the implementation of the new U.S. Constitution was being put into effect. By the time of the Civil War, free delivery of city mail was established and letter carriers successfully concluded a campaign for the eight-hour workday in 1888. The next year, letter carriers came together in Milwaukee and the National Association of Letter Carriers was formed.

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There is Dignity in All Work

There is Dignity in All Work